What decision are you facing?

Define the uncertainties. Run 10,000 scenarios. See the shape of your decision.

HOW DO YOUR VARIABLES COMBINE?

Financial Outcome Variables that add up to a total — salary, costs, returns, savings Market Opportunity Variables that multiply — audience size, conversion rate, revenue per customer Weighted Score Variables scored and weighted — useful for hiring, vendor selection, or prioritisation

Your Decision

Financial Outcome

Define each uncertain variable with a realistic range. The simulation samples from these ranges 10,000 times.

Worst realistic · Your best guess · Best realistic

Minimum 2 variables · Maximum 4

Running 10,000 scenarios

Sampling your variables. Calculating the distribution.

OUTCOME DISTRIBUTION

KEY NUMBERS

Pessimistic case

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Most likely outcome

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Optimistic case

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WHAT DRIVES THIS DECISION MOST?

The variable responsible for most of the uncertainty in your outcome

WHAT THIS MEANS FOR YOU

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WHAT TO DO NEXT

The Analysis

Generating insight...

Analysing your variables...